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RESEARCH BY INDUSTRY

Evidence for the decision.

Find published research and synthetic demonstrations, with planned and developing topics clearly separated.

9 published public-data studies4 synthetic demonstrations51 planned or developing topics

Banking and fintech

1 published study · 2 planned or developing topics

Published findings & demonstrations

Planned topics & work in progress

These topics are separate from completed findings. Each status reflects the work actually performed.

S29 / Banking and fintech

Mortgage application outcomes across markets and lenders

A lending strategy and model-risk team wants to understand geographic variation in application outcomes and which differences remain after measured application characteristics are considered.

Planned topic

Proposed design & source

Multilevel models; standardization; selection-bias sensitivity

Create comparable HMDA cohorts by year, loan purpose, product and application disposition. Keep withdrawals and incomplete files distinct from denials. Use multilevel logistic models and standardized outcome comparisons; audit privacy-modified, censored and missing fields before constructing covariates.

Evaluation: Hold out later years and selected lenders/regions. Compare raw versus standardized differences with uncertainty, calibration and sensitivity to covariate sets. Avoid ranking tiny cells; evaluate missingness patterns and changes in reporting definitions.

Boundary: HMDA is not a loan-performance panel and does not contain every underwriting factor. This is an audit and research demonstration, not a legal finding of discrimination or a deployable credit-decision engine.

HMDA mortgage application data ↗

S30 / Banking and fintech

Credit-risk decisions when calibration matters more than a leaderboard

A risk analytics leader must understand how probability errors affect a hypothetical review policy. Compare interpretable and flexible default models under asymmetric error costs and limited manual-review capacity.

Planned topic

Proposed design & source

Proper scoring rules; probability calibration; expected loss

Use the available repayment, bill and payment history to predict the provided next-month default outcome. Fit logistic and monotone/additive baselines plus boosted trees. Reserve an untouched customer-level test set, calibrate on separate validation data and document feature timing.

Evaluation: Use nested development folds and the fixed test set; do not invent a temporal holdout absent multiple cohorts. Report Brier score, log loss, calibration by risk band, PR performance and decision-cost sensitivity. Analyze subgroup errors without making automatic individual lending decisions.

Boundary: This is an older Taiwan cohort with no prospective U.S. validation. Default prediction is not fraud detection; assumed exposure and losses must be separated from observed labels and no actual lending policy is validated.

Default of Credit Card Clients ↗

The 60-topic program spans 20 industries, with 9 studies published. Synthetic demonstrations are counted separately. Unpublished topics have no public case-study route.