A network planning team wants to locate predictable activity peaks and unusual surges. Test whether spatial models improve short-horizon cell-grid activity forecasts and identify where a hypothetical capacity budget would be most exposed.
Proposed design & source
Spatiotemporal models; graph regularization; residual anomalies
Build time-aligned Milan grid series for the released activity measures. Compare seasonal baselines, spatially pooled models and a graph-temporal challenger. Define adjacency from the documented grid and preserve separate activity types; treat normalization and missing intervals explicitly.
Evaluation: Use blocked future-day/week holdouts and selected spatial blocks. Report scaled error, peak-period quantile loss and false alerts under a defined threshold. Test the short observation period's sensitivity to unusual days and compare any allocation policies only under common simulated assumptions.
Boundary: Normalized grid activity is not subscriber count, bytes, tower load or dropped-call experience. The short historical period cannot validate a physical network expansion plan or annual seasonality.
Telecom Italia Milan activity ↗